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Brian Owendoff's avatar

Why Reform Always Fails

If the problems are obvious—and they are—why does reform never stick?

Why do elections change nothing?


Why do task forces produce reports instead of results?


Why do “bold new plans” quietly dissolve into the same outcomes?

Because the system is engineered to absorb reform without changing.

Reform Threatens the Wrong People

Reform is sold as a threat to “the powerful,” but in practice it threatens the wrong incentives.

Real reform would:

* Shrink budgets

* Eliminate agencies

* Make nonprofits obsolete

* Restore enforcement

* Reintroduce consequences

That’s not a tweak. That’s an existential threat to the ecosystem built around permanent crisis management.

So reform is allowed—but only in forms that don’t disrupt the revenue streams.

The Bureaucratic Defense Mechanism

Every large system develops an immune response.

In modern governance, that response looks like:

* Committees

* Pilot programs

* Equity reviews

* Stakeholder engagement

* Impact studies

* “Listening sessions”

Each step delays action while creating the appearance of progress.

By the time a reform reaches implementation:

* The language has been diluted

* The enforcement mechanisms removed

* The metrics softened

* The accountability dispersed

Nothing changes—but everyone gets paid.

Language Is the First Line of Defense

Reform doesn’t fail at the ballot box.


It fails at the vocabulary level.

Words are redefined to make reform impossible:

* Enforcement becomes “criminalization”

* Standards become “exclusion”

* Merit becomes “bias”

* Accountability becomes “harm”

Once language is weaponized, outcomes can’t be debated—only intentions.

And intentions are impossible to falsify.

The Moral Trap

Here’s the most effective shield against reform: moral absolutism.

If a policy is framed as compassionate, opposing it becomes immoral—regardless of results.

This creates a trap:

* You can’t criticize outcomes without attacking motives

* You can’t demand change without being labeled cruel

* You can’t ask “is this working?” without first passing a moral purity test

So reformers self-censor. Politicians hedge. Media reframes. And the policy survives untouched.

Reformers Are Forced to Play Inside the System

Even genuine reformers are trapped.

To gain access, they must:

* Accept the framing

* Use the approved language

* Avoid questioning foundational assumptions

* Promise continuity with “core values”

By the time they’re inside, they’re no longer reformers—they’re caretakers.

The system doesn’t resist reform with force.
It domesticates it.

Elections Don’t Fix Structural Incentives

This is the part most people miss.

Voting changes personnel, not architecture.

The incentives remain:

* Federal dollars reward expansion, not resolution

* Bureaucracies are evaluated on spending, not outcomes

* Nonprofits are funded for activity, not success

* Politicians face no personal cost for failure

So even when voters demand change, the machine simply waits them out.

Four years later, nothing fundamental has shifted.

Failure Is Politically Safer Than Success

Success creates risk.

Solving homelessness means:

* Job losses in the nonprofit sector

* Reduced budgets

* Fewer grants

* Less political leverage

Failure, on the other hand:

* Justifies expansion

* Generates sympathy

* Silences critics

* Attracts funding

In this system, failure is the low-risk option.

The Final Reality

Reform doesn’t fail because people are stupid.
It fails because the system punishes anyone who tries to make it work.

You can’t fix a structure where:

* Outcomes don’t matter

* Accountability is optional

* Language overrides evidence

* And incentives reward permanence over progress

Until those incentives change, every reform effort will follow the same path:

Announcement.
Funding.
Dilution.
Excuses.
Repeat.

The system isn’t afraid of reform.

It’s built to survive it.

Ramin Farahmandpur's avatar

Brian,

Your writing here is strong, and some of it holds up: the bureaucratic delay tactics, the perverse incentives, and the way moral framing can shut down accountability.

But "reform always fails" is a rhetorical posture rather than a historical claim. Did the Civil Rights Act fail? The Clean Air Act? The drop in violent crime since the 1990s? The 1996 welfare restructuring? These structural changes disrupted powerful interests and shifted outcomes. They were not perfect, but they persisted.

Your strongest point, that failure is sometimes institutionally rewarded, undermines your conclusion. If the problem is an incentive design issue, fixing those incentives is the answer. Performance-based contracting, outcome-linked grants, and program evaluation aim to do this. Imperfect tools. Not pointless.

Your examples, however, draw entirely from progressive governance failures. The same critique applies to defense procurement, drug enforcement, agricultural subsidies, and industries writing their own rules. If this is about structural incentives, the argument has no single political home. The selective framing gives the game away.

"The system is built to survive reform" is a form of moral absolutism. It forecloses engagement as effectively as the equity reviews you criticize. The critic who refuses to work inside imperfect institutions for fear of co-optation ends up in the same place as the one domesticated by them: nowhere.

The better question is not whether reform fails, Brian. It's which reforms worked, why, and what conditions made the difference. Harder than fatalism. But it's the only frame that leads anywhere.